
Pedro Munhoz vs Russell Doane
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Pedro Munhoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Russell Doane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 56% favorite over Russell Doane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Pedro Munhoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1654, a 42-point edge.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Munhoz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.
Russell Doane carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.