Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Munhoz vs Russell Doane

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Munhoz
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Pedro Munhoz

“The Young Punisher”

20-10-0BantamweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

20-10-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
65"Reach70,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamHawaii Elite MMA

What's at stake

Pedro Munhoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Russell Doane carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pedro MunhozNow 1696
If they win+11→ 1707
If they lose-13→ 1683
Russell DoaneNow 1654
If they win+13→ 1667
If they lose-11→ 1643

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1745 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1624 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.38
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
6.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.68
56%
Strike defense
54%
0.48
Takedown avg.
2.11
16%
Takedown accuracy
46%
82%
Takedown defense
53%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Pedro MunhozRussell Doane
165017001750202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
8 (40%)
Submission
6 (35%)
7 (35%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Munhoz56%
Russell Doane 44%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 56% favorite over Russell Doane in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Pedro Munhoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1654, a 42-point edge.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Russell Doane enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Pedro Munhoz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Russell Doane 76%.

Russell Doane carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.