Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Nobre vs Phil Harris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-2Record22-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamGym01

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro NobreNow 1587
If they win+12→ 1599
If they lose-12→ 1575
Phil HarrisNow 1579
If they win+12→ 1591
If they lose-12→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
2.34
30%
Strike accuracy
27%
9.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.16
35%
Strike defense
68%
0
Takedown avg.
1.76
0%
Takedown accuracy
22%
0%
Takedown defense
60%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Pedro NobrePhil Harris
16002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
4 (18%)
6 (27%)
Submission
13 (59%)
4 (18%)
Decision
5 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Nobre52%
Phil Harris 48%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Nobre a 52% favorite over Phil Harris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1579), separated by just 8 points.

Phil Harris enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pedro Nobre finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Phil Harris 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.