Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Nobre vs Richie Vaculik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-7-2Record10-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'6"
TBDReach41,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Brazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTP Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro NobreNow 1573
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
Richie VaculikNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.37
Sig. strikes / min
3.69
30%
Strike accuracy
47%
9.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
35%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
3
0%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
32%
0
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Pedro NobreRichie Vaculik
160020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
6 (27%)
Submission
6 (60%)
4 (18%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Pedro Nobre and Richie Vaculik within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1576), separated by just 3 points.

Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Richie Vaculik enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pedro Nobre finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Richie Vaculik 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.