Pedro Nobre vs Ryan Benoit
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-2Record10-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Brazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamJanjira Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1585
If they lose-12→ 1561
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pedro NobreRyan Benoit
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Benoit57%
Pedro Nobre 43%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Benoit a 57% favorite over Pedro Nobre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Nobre's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1568), separated by just 5 points.
Pedro Nobre enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Benoit enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pedro Nobre finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Benoit 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.