Pedro Ribeiro vs Pedro Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
CT Punch Fight TeamTeamCerrado MMA· 1629 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Pedro Souza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Pedro Ribeiro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1547
If they lose-19→ 1499
If they win+19→ 1604
If they lose-29→ 1556
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pedro RibeiroPedro Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Souza52%
Pedro Ribeiro 48%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 52% favorite over Pedro Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Pedro Souza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1585 to 1518, a 67-point edge.
Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Pedro Souza 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.