Pedro Ribeiro vs Royler Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-1-0Record5-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight150 lbs
CT Punch Fight TeamTeamGracie Humaita
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1542
If they lose-24→ 1494
If they win+16→ 1527
If they lose-16→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pedro RibeiroRoyler Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Ribeiro62%
Royler Gracie 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Ribeiro a 62% favorite over Royler Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1511), separated by just 7 points.
Royler Gracie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Royler Gracie 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.