Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Rizzo vs Randy Couture

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Pedro Rizzo
br

Pedro Rizzo

“The Rock”

20-11-0HeavyweightFTF

1673Good
Randy Couture
us

Randy Couture

“The Natural”

19-11-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1721Good

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record19-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
244 lbsWeight203 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Randy Couture is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pedro Rizzo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pedro RizzoNow 1673
If they win+14→ 1687
If they lose-10→ 1663
Randy CoutureNow 1721
If they win+10→ 1731
If they lose-14→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.85
38%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.53
51%
Strike defense
59%
0.29
Takedown avg.
2.78
29%
Takedown accuracy
47%
78%
Takedown defense
58%
0
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Pedro RizzoRandy Couture
1650170017502009201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

15 (75%)
KO/TKO
7 (37%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (21%)
4 (20%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Randy Couture70%
Pedro Rizzo 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 70% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Randy Couture holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1721 to 1673, a 48-point edge.

Pedro Rizzo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.