Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Rizzo vs Renan Ferreira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Rizzo
br

Pedro Rizzo

“The Rock”

20-11-0HeavyweightFTF

1673Good

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record13-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'8"
TBDReach85"
244 lbsWeight264 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro RizzoNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Renan FerreiraNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.29
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Pedro RizzoRenan Ferreira
165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (75%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (8%)
4 (20%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Renan Ferreira70%
Pedro Rizzo 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Renan Ferreira a 70% favorite over Pedro Rizzo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pedro Rizzo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1673), separated by just 0 points.

Renan Ferreira enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pedro Rizzo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Renan Ferreira 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.