Pedro Rizzo vs Tsuyoshi Kosaka
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-11-0Record28-21-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
244 lbsWeight214 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeamAlliance-Square
What's at stake
Pedro Rizzo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tsuyoshi Kosaka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1683
If they lose-14→ 1659
If they win+14→ 1631
If they lose-10→ 1607
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pedro RizzoTsuyoshi Kosaka
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Rizzo63%
Tsuyoshi Kosaka 37%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Rizzo a 63% favorite over Tsuyoshi Kosaka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Pedro Rizzo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1617, a 56-point edge.
Pedro Rizzo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tsuyoshi Kosaka 63%.
Pedro Rizzo and Tsuyoshi Kosaka share 1 common opponent: Fedor Emelianenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.