Combat Edge Intelligence

Pedro Rizzo vs Vladimir Matyushenko

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pedro Rizzo
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Pedro Rizzo

“The Rock”

20-11-0HeavyweightFTF

1673Good

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record27-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
244 lbsWeight205 lbs
Ruas Vale TudoTeamVMAT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pedro RizzoNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Vladimir MatyushenkoNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1681 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.95
38%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
51%
Strike defense
60%
0.29
Takedown avg.
2.89
29%
Takedown accuracy
40%
78%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0.15

Trajectory

Pedro RizzoVladimir Matyushenko
1650170017502012201320142015

Win method breakdown

15 (75%)
KO/TKO
12 (44%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (15%)
4 (20%)
Decision
11 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Rizzo58%
Vladimir Matyushenko 42%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Rizzo a 58% favorite over Vladimir Matyushenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vladimir Matyushenko's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1684), separated by just 11 points.

Pedro Rizzo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Vladimir Matyushenko 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.