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Combat Edge Intelligence

Per Eklund vs Sam Stout

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sam Stout
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Sam Stout

“Hands of Stone”

20-12-1LightweightUFC

1593Solid

Tale of the tape

14-5-1Record20-12-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
OrlaTeamTeam Tompkins

What's at stake

Per Eklund is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Sam Stout carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Per EklundNow 1620
If they win+15→ 1635
If they lose-17→ 1603
Sam StoutNow 1593
If they win+13→ 1606
If they lose-11→ 1582

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
61%
Strike accuracy
29%
2.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.08
67%
Strike defense
57%
2.07
Takedown avg.
0.63
11%
Takedown accuracy
38%
50%
Takedown defense
78%
3.62
Submission avg.
0.13

Trajectory

Per EklundSam Stout
160016502009201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
7 (54%)
Submission
1 (5%)
4 (31%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Sam Stout68%
Per Eklund 32%Elo baseline: 46%

The Combat Edge model makes Sam Stout a 68% favorite over Per Eklund in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Per Eklund's way (46%).

Per Eklund holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1593, a 27-point edge.

Per Eklund enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Per Eklund finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.