Combat Edge Intelligence

Pete Rodriguez vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
71"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dominate MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Themba Gorimbo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Pete Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pete RodriguezNow 1566
If they win+27→ 1593
If they lose-21→ 1545
Themba GorimboNow 1608
If they win+14→ 1622
If they lose-18→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.28
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
44%
Strike accuracy
61%
12.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
43%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
5.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
66%
100%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Pete RodriguezThemba Gorimbo
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (100%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (43%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Themba Gorimbo52%
Pete Rodriguez 48%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 52% favorite over Pete Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Themba Gorimbo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1566, a 42-point edge.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Pete Rodriguez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Themba Gorimbo carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.