Pete Sell vs Scott Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record18-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCapital City Fighting Alliance
What's at stake
Scott Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pete Sell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1579
If they lose-13→ 1547
If they win+10→ 1640
If they lose-14→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pete SellScott Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Scott Smith63%
Pete Sell 37%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Scott Smith a 63% favorite over Pete Sell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Scott Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1560, a 70-point edge.
Pete Sell finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Scott Smith 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.