Combat Edge Intelligence

Pete Sell vs Thales Leites

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Pete Sell
us

Pete Sell

“Drago”

10-7-0MiddleweightROC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record28-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach78,0"
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Thales Leites is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Pete Sell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pete SellNow 1560
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-8→ 1552
Thales LeitesNow 1744
If they win+6→ 1750
If they lose-18→ 1726

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1713 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.60
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
52%
Strike defense
53%
0.91
Takedown avg.
2.10
21%
Takedown accuracy
27%
48%
Takedown defense
31%
0.91
Submission avg.
1.14

Trajectory

Pete SellThales Leites
15501600165017001750201620172018

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
4 (40%)
Submission
15 (54%)
6 (60%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Thales Leites80%
Pete Sell 20%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Thales Leites a 80% favorite over Pete Sell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Thales Leites holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1560, a 184-point edge.

Pete Sell finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Thales Leites 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.