Pete Spratt vs Robbie Lawler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-24-0Record30-16-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team SprattTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Robbie Lawler is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Pete Spratt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1503
If they lose-4→ 1479
If they win+4→ 1792
If they lose-20→ 1768
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1762 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Pete SprattRobbie Lawler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Robbie Lawler87%
Pete Spratt 13%Elo baseline: 85%
The Combat Edge model makes Robbie Lawler a 87% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (85%).
Robbie Lawler holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1788 to 1483, a 305-point edge.
Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pete Spratt finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Robbie Lawler 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.