Pete Spratt vs Zach Light
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-24-0Record9-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachUnknown
170 lbsWeight170.4 LBS
Team SprattTeamWolfslair
What's at stake
Pete Spratt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Zach Light carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1494
If they lose-13→ 1470
If they win+17→ 1473
If they lose-15→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Pete SprattZach Light
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Light64%
Pete Spratt 36%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Light a 64% favorite over Pete Spratt in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pete Spratt's way (46%).
Pete Spratt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1483 to 1456, a 27-point edge.
Pete Spratt enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pete Spratt finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Zach Light 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.