Combat Edge Intelligence

Pete Williams vs Semmy Schilt

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record26-14-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'11"
TBDReachTBD
225 lbsWeight256 lbs
Lion's DenTeamGolden Glory

What's at stake

Semmy Schilt is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pete Williams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Pete WilliamsNow 1632
If they win+18→ 1650
If they lose-14→ 1618
Semmy SchiltNow 1682
If they win+10→ 1692
If they lose-14→ 1668

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.61
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
63%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.77
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.60
40%
Strike defense
54%
1.84
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
17%
Takedown defense
47%
0.92
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Pete WilliamsSemmy Schilt
16501700200020012002200320042005200620072008

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
15 (58%)
4 (33%)
Submission
9 (35%)
2 (17%)
Decision
2 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Semmy Schilt54%
Pete Williams 46%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Semmy Schilt a 54% favorite over Pete Williams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Semmy Schilt holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1632, a 50-point edge.

Pete Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Semmy Schilt enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Pete Williams finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Semmy Schilt 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.