Combat Edge Intelligence

Peter Petties vs Rustam Serbiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-8-0Record9-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach69"
170 lbsWeight169 lbs
Crazy 88 Brazilian Jiu-JitsuTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Peter PettiesNow 1537
If they win+16→ 1553
If they lose-16→ 1521
Rustam SerbievNow 1540
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1498 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.61
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
29%
Strike accuracy
TBD
8.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
48%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Peter PettiesRustam Serbiev
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (44%)
7 (70%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Rustam Serbiev62%
Peter Petties 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rustam Serbiev a 62% favorite over Peter Petties in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1537 vs 1540), separated by just 3 points.

Peter Petties finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Rustam Serbiev 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.