Combat Edge Intelligence

Peter Sobotta vs Ronald Paradeiser

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-7-1Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Planet Eater· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Peter SobottaNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640
Ronald ParadeiserNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
59%
Strike defense
TBD
1.53
Takedown avg.
TBD
32%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
78%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.51
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Peter SobottaRonald Paradeiser
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
14 (61%)
10 (59%)
Submission
3 (13%)
2 (12%)
Decision
6 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronald Paradeiser63%
Peter Sobotta 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronald Paradeiser a 63% favorite over Peter Sobotta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ronald Paradeiser enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Peter Sobotta finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Ronald Paradeiser 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.