Peter Sobotta vs Steven Kennedy
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-7-1Record27-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach71.00
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet EaterTeamKickass MMA
What's at stake
Peter Sobotta is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Steven Kennedy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+32→ 1568
If they lose-16→ 1520
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Peter SobottaSteven Kennedy
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Peter Sobotta64%
Steven Kennedy 36%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Peter Sobotta a 64% favorite over Steven Kennedy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Peter Sobotta holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1536, a 116-point edge.
Peter Sobotta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Kennedy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Peter Sobotta finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Steven Kennedy 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.