Petera Wilson vs Roggers Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record15-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
-Reach79"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
TeamAlcateia MMA· 1551 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1543
If they lose-23→ 1495
If they win+15→ 1544
If they lose-17→ 1512
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Petera WilsonRoggers Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petera Wilson61%
Roggers Souza 39%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Petera Wilson a 61% favorite over Roggers Souza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roggers Souza's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1529), separated by just 11 points.
Petera Wilson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roggers Souza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Petera Wilson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roggers Souza 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.