Combat Edge Intelligence

Petr Yan vs Sean O'Malley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Petr Yan
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Petr Yan

“No Mercy”

20-5-0BantamweightUFC

1817Great

Tale of the tape

20-5-0Record20-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'11"
67"Reach72″
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Archangel Michael Club· 1764 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Petr YanNow 1817
If they win+12→ 1829
If they lose-12→ 1805
Sean O'MalleyNow 1815
If they win+16→ 1831
If they lose-16→ 1799

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1778 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
6.05
55%
Strike accuracy
61%
4.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
60%
Strike defense
60%
1.70
Takedown avg.
0.24
0%
Takedown accuracy
43%
86%
Takedown defense
61%
0.11
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Petr YanSean O'Malley
17501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (35%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (5%)
12 (60%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Sean O'Malley56%
Petr Yan 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Malley a 56% favorite over Petr Yan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Petr Yan's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1817 vs 1815), separated by just 2 points.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Sean O'Malley enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Petr Yan finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Malley 70%.

Petr Yan and Sean O'Malley share 3 common opponents: Merab Dvalishvili, Yadong Song and Aljamain Sterling.

Sean O'Malley carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Yadong Song
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023
Merab Dvalishvili
LossSubmission · 2025
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
LossDecision (split) · 2022
LossDQ · 2021
Aljamain Sterling
WinKO/TKO · 2023