Combat Edge Intelligence

Phil Baroni vs Robert Pukač

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Baroni
us

Phil Baroni

“New York Bad Ass”

16-19-0WelterweightRFC

1547Average

Tale of the tape

16-19-0Record21-14-1
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight175 lbs
American Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Phil BaroniNow 1547
If they win+12→ 1559
If they lose-12→ 1535
Robert PukačNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.93
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
41%
Strike defense
TBD
1.46
Takedown avg.
TBD
47%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.49
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Phil BaroniRobert Pukač
14501500155020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (69%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
2 (13%)
Submission
4 (20%)
3 (19%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Pukač67%
Phil Baroni 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Pukač a 67% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Baroni's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1544), separated by just 3 points.

Phil Baroni finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Robert Pukač 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.