Phil Davis vs Randy Couture
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record19-11-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight203 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
If they win+12→ 1733
If they lose-12→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil DavisRandy Couture
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Couture59%
Phil Davis 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Couture a 59% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1721), separated by just 2 points.
Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Randy Couture 58%.
Phil Davis and Randy Couture share 1 common opponent: Lyoto Machida.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.