Combat Edge Intelligence

Phil Davis vs Rashad Evans

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
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Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record20-8-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Phil Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rashad Evans carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+10→ 1749
If they lose-14→ 1725
Rashad EvansNow 1674
If they win+14→ 1688
If they lose-10→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
35%
Strike accuracy
38%
1.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
72%
Strike defense
63%
2.76
Takedown avg.
2.98
36%
Takedown accuracy
45%
72%
Takedown defense
74%
0.53
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Phil DavisRashad Evans
17001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
5 (21%)
Submission
1 (5%)
13 (54%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil Davis75%
Rashad Evans 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil Davis a 75% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Phil Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1674, a 65-point edge.

Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.