Phil Davis vs Rasul Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record10-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1735
If they lose-12→ 1711
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil DavisRasul Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rasul Magomedov66%
Phil Davis 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Rasul Magomedov a 66% favorite over Phil Davis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Davis's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1723 vs 1717), separated by just 6 points.
Rasul Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Rasul Magomedov 60%.
Phil Davis and Rasul Magomedov share 1 common opponent: Sullivan Cauley.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.