Combat Edge Intelligence

Phil Davis vs Rodney Wallace

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Davis
us

Phil Davis

“Mr. Wonderful”

24-7-0Light HeavyweightBFC

1739Good
Rodney Wallace
us

Rodney Wallace

“Sho Nuff the Master”

26-16-1Light HeavyweightPFC

1574Solid

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record26-16-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamTeam R.O.C. Charlotte

What's at stake

Phil Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rodney Wallace carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Phil DavisNow 1739
If they win+7→ 1746
If they lose-17→ 1722
Rodney WallaceNow 1574
If they win+17→ 1591
If they lose-7→ 1567

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
35%
Strike accuracy
46%
1.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
72%
Strike defense
45%
2.76
Takedown avg.
6
36%
Takedown accuracy
55%
72%
Takedown defense
29%
0.53
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Phil DavisRodney Wallace
160016501700175020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (23%)
5 (21%)
Submission
3 (12%)
13 (54%)
Decision
17 (65%)

Combat Edge model read

Phil Davis84%
Rodney Wallace 16%Elo baseline: 72%

The Combat Edge model makes Phil Davis a 84% favorite over Rodney Wallace in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).

Phil Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1574, a 165-point edge.

Rodney Wallace enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Rodney Wallace 35%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.