Phil Davis vs Vinny Magalhaes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record19-12-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Alliance MMATeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Phil Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Vinny Magalhaes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1745
If they lose-18→ 1721
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-8→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil DavisVinny Magalhaes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil Davis79%
Vinny Magalhaes 21%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil Davis a 79% favorite over Vinny Magalhaes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Phil Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1739 to 1556, a 183-point edge.
Vinny Magalhaes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Davis finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Vinny Magalhaes 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.