Phil De Fries
Elo1707GoodPhil De Fries vs Rob Broughton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1707Good
Tale of the tape
25-6-0Record16-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
264 lbsWeight258 lbs
Alliance MMATeamAtherton Submission Wrestling
What's at stake
Phil De Fries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Rob Broughton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-19→ 1688
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-10→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil De FriesRob Broughton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil De Fries75%
Rob Broughton 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 75% favorite over Rob Broughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Phil De Fries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1642, a 65-point edge.
Phil De Fries enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Phil De Fries finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rob Broughton 81%.
Phil De Fries and Rob Broughton share 1 common opponent: James Thompson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.