Phil De Fries vs Rob Broughton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-6-0Record16-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"ReachTBD
264 lbsWeight258 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAtherton Submission Wrestling
What's at stake
Phil De Fries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rob Broughton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1809
If they lose-17→ 1785
If they win+17→ 1659
If they lose-7→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Phil De FriesRob Broughton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil De Fries86%
Rob Broughton 14%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 86% favorite over Rob Broughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Phil De Fries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1642, a 160-point edge.
Phil De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Phil De Fries finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Rob Broughton 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.