Phil De Fries vs Todd Duffee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-6-0Record9-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
79"Reach78"
264 lbsWeight241 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1638 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Phil De Fries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Todd Duffee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1808
If they lose-18→ 1784
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1657 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Phil De FriesTodd Duffee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Phil De Fries85%
Todd Duffee 15%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Phil De Fries a 85% favorite over Todd Duffee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Phil De Fries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1605, a 197-point edge.
Phil De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Todd Duffee enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil De Fries finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Todd Duffee 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.