Combat Edge Intelligence

Phil Hawes vs Preston LaGrange

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Hawes
us

Phil Hawes

“No Hype”

12-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record6-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
77"Reach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamHard Drive MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Phil HawesNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
Preston LaGrangeNow 1623
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
59%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
2.11
Takedown avg.
TBD
35%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
91%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.23
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Phil HawesPreston LaGrange
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
4 (67%)
2 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Preston LaGrange62%
Phil Hawes 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Preston LaGrange a 62% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Hawes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1623), separated by just 0 points.

Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Preston LaGrange enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Phil Hawes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Preston LaGrange 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.