Phil Hawes vs Roman Dolidze
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'3"
77"Reach 76"
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Roman Dolidze is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Phil Hawes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1612
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-21→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil HawesRoman Dolidze
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roman Dolidze78%
Phil Hawes 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Roman Dolidze a 78% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Roman Dolidze holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1623, a 102-point edge.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Roman Dolidze enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Phil Hawes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Roman Dolidze 73%.
Phil Hawes and Roman Dolidze share 2 common opponents: Kyle Daukaus and Nassourdine Imavov.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.