Phil Hawes vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record9-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil HawesWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz63%
Phil Hawes 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 63% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Hawes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1622), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Hawes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.