Phil Hawes vs Wes Schultz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
77"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
Phil Hawes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Wes Schultz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1638
If they lose-17→ 1606
If they win+17→ 1620
If they lose-15→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil HawesWes Schultz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wes Schultz78%
Phil Hawes 22%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 78% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Hawes's way (47%).
Phil Hawes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1603, a 20-point edge.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Hawes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.