Phil Hawes vs Yahaya Yahuza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record8-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'8"
77"Reach69"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTBD
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607
If they win+24→ 1648
If they lose-24→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Phil HawesYahaya Yahuza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yahaya Yahuza70%
Phil Hawes 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Yahaya Yahuza a 70% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1623 vs 1624), separated by just 1 points.
Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Phil Hawes finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Yahaya Yahuza 50%.
Phil Hawes carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.