Combat Edge Intelligence

Phillipe Nover vs Rob Emerson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Emerson
us

Rob Emerson

“The Saint”

21-15-0BantamweightGP

1476Average

Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record21-15-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72,0"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Phillipe Nover is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Phillipe NoverNow 1648
If they win+9→ 1657
If they lose-23→ 1625
Rob EmersonNow 1476
If they win+23→ 1499
If they lose-9→ 1467

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
36%
Strike accuracy
31%
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.83
56%
Strike defense
65%
0.99
Takedown avg.
2.02
29%
Takedown accuracy
53%
45%
Takedown defense
66%
0.66
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Phillipe NoverRob Emerson
15001600170020162017

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
6 (29%)
5 (45%)
Submission
7 (33%)
5 (45%)
Decision
8 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Phillipe Nover75%
Rob Emerson 25%Elo baseline: 73%

The Combat Edge model makes Phillipe Nover a 75% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).

Phillipe Nover holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1476, a 172-point edge.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Phillipe Nover finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.