Combat Edge Intelligence

Phillipe Nover vs Zubaira Tukhugov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-8-1Record20-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight158 lbs
Team Renzo GracieTeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

Zubaira Tukhugov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Phillipe Nover carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Phillipe NoverNow 1648
If they win+18→ 1666
If they lose-14→ 1634
Zubaira TukhugovNow 1692
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.79
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
36%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.48
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.07
56%
Strike defense
64%
0.99
Takedown avg.
2.13
29%
Takedown accuracy
39%
45%
Takedown defense
100%
0.66
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Phillipe NoverZubaira Tukhugov
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

1 (9%)
KO/TKO
7 (35%)
5 (45%)
Submission
1 (5%)
5 (45%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Zubaira Tukhugov78%
Phillipe Nover 22%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Zubaira Tukhugov a 78% favorite over Phillipe Nover in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Zubaira Tukhugov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1648, a 44-point edge.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Phillipe Nover finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Zubaira Tukhugov 40%.

Phillipe Nover carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.