Combat Edge Intelligence

Pingyuan Liu vs Reece McLaren

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record19-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
72,0"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 ratedTeamBoonchu Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Pingyuan LiuNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Reece McLarenNow 1631
If they win+16→ 1647
If they lose-16→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.36
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.99
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
54%
Strike defense
TBD
0.25
Takedown avg.
TBD
20%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.02
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Pingyuan LiuReece McLaren
16001650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (27%)
KO/TKO
4 (21%)
6 (40%)
Submission
9 (47%)
5 (33%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Reece McLaren58%
Pingyuan Liu 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Reece McLaren a 58% favorite over Pingyuan Liu in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pingyuan Liu's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1631), separated by just 3 points.

Pingyuan Liu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Pingyuan Liu finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Reece McLaren 68%.

Pingyuan Liu carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.