Combat Edge Intelligence

Piotr Kacprzak vs Sterling Ford

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
76"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Cross Fight RadomTeamNW Elite Tacoma MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Piotr KacprzakNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
Sterling FordNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Piotr KacprzakSterling Ford
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (21%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
5 (36%)
Submission
6 (40%)
6 (43%)
Decision
6 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Piotr Kacprzak63%
Sterling Ford 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Kacprzak a 63% favorite over Sterling Ford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Piotr Kacprzak enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Sterling Ford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Piotr Kacprzak finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Sterling Ford 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.