Combat Edge Intelligence

Piotr Strus vs Vadim Ogar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-2Record10-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
72.4"Reach-
185 lbsWeight157 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1591 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1645 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Piotr StrusNow 1515
If they win+16→ 1531
If they lose-16→ 1499
Vadim OgarNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Piotr StrusVadim Ogar
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (12%)
Submission
6 (60%)
10 (59%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Piotr Strus73%
Vadim Ogar 27%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Strus a 73% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vadim Ogar's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1515 vs 1521), separated by just 6 points.

Vadim Ogar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Piotr Strus finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Ogar 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.