Piotr Strus vs Vadim Ogar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-2Record10-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'9"
72.4"Reach-
185 lbsWeight157 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1602 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamK Dojo Warrior Tribe· 1639 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Piotr StrusVadim Ogar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Piotr Strus54%
Vadim Ogar 46%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Piotr Strus a 54% favorite over Vadim Ogar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vadim Ogar's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1516 vs 1522), separated by just 6 points.
Vadim Ogar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Piotr Strus finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Vadim Ogar 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.