Combat Edge Intelligence

Poliana Botelho vs Syuri Kondo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record6-3-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'4"
67"Reach66,5"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamVos Gym

What's at stake

Poliana Botelho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Syuri Kondo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-18→ 1557
Syuri KondoNow 1542
If they win+18→ 1560
If they lose-14→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.90
Sig. strikes / min
5.40
59%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.22
54%
Strike defense
58%
0.85
Takedown avg.
0
57%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Poliana BotelhoSyuri Kondo
155016001650201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
5 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Poliana Botelho56%
Syuri Kondo 44%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Poliana Botelho a 56% favorite over Syuri Kondo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Poliana Botelho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1575 to 1542, a 33-point edge.

Syuri Kondo enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Poliana Botelho finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Syuri Kondo 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.