Combat Edge Intelligence

Preston Parsons vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
71"Reach77"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevate MMATeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594
Themba GorimboNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.50
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
52%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
55%
Strike defense
52%
3.53
Takedown avg.
5.07
37%
Takedown accuracy
66%
71%
Takedown defense
73%
2.35
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Preston ParsonsThemba Gorimbo
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
9 (82%)
Submission
6 (43%)
2 (18%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Themba Gorimbo53%
Preston Parsons 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 53% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Preston Parsons's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Preston Parsons finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Themba Gorimbo carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.