Quinn Mulhern vs Rick Story
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-4-0Record21-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'3"Height5'10"
TBDReach40,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rick Story is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Quinn Mulhern carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1711
If they lose-14→ 1679
If they win+10→ 1754
If they lose-14→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Quinn MulhernRick Story
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rick Story68%
Quinn Mulhern 32%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Rick Story a 68% favorite over Quinn Mulhern in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Rick Story holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1693, a 51-point edge.
Quinn Mulhern enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Quinn Mulhern finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Rick Story 43%.
Quinn Mulhern and Rick Story share 1 common opponent: Yuri Villefort.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.