Quinton Jackson vs Ryan Bader
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-14-0Record31-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach74,0"
265 lbsWeight232 lbs
Wolfslair AcademyTeamPower MMA Team
What's at stake
Ryan Bader is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Quinton Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1746
If they lose-9→ 1722
If they win+9→ 1832
If they lose-15→ 1808
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1732 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Quinton JacksonRyan Bader
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Bader79%
Quinton Jackson 21%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Bader a 79% favorite over Quinton Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ryan Bader holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1823 to 1731, a 92-point edge.
Quinton Jackson finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Bader 52%.
Quinton Jackson and Ryan Bader share 2 common opponents: Fedor Emelianenko and Muhammed Lawal.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.