Combat Edge Intelligence

Quinton Jackson vs Shamil Erdogan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

38-14-0Record13-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach79"
265 lbsWeight205 lbs
Wolfslair AcademyTeamKrepost Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Quinton JacksonNow 1732
If they win+12→ 1744
If they lose-12→ 1720
Shamil ErdoganNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1685 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.25
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
54%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
1.52
Takedown avg.
TBD
56%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
74%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.13
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Quinton JacksonShamil Erdogan
1700175020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

20 (53%)
KO/TKO
8 (62%)
4 (11%)
Submission
1 (8%)
14 (37%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Shamil Erdogan70%
Quinton Jackson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Erdogan a 70% favorite over Quinton Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Quinton Jackson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1731), separated by just 1 points.

Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Quinton Jackson finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 69%.

Shamil Erdogan carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.