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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rachael Ostovich vs Valentina Scatizzi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-6-0Record3-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
38,5"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jesus Is LordTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

Valentina Scatizzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Rachael Ostovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rachael OstovichNow 1456
If they win+17→ 1473
If they lose-15→ 1441
Valentina ScatizziNow 1481
If they win+22→ 1503
If they lose-26→ 1455

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.54
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
2.03
Takedown avg.
Not available
83%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
67%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.81
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Rachael OstovichValentina Scatizzi
145015002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (33%)
2 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Valentina Scatizzi54%
Rachael Ostovich 46%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Scatizzi a 54% favorite over Rachael Ostovich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Valentina Scatizzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1481 to 1456, a 25-point edge.

Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Valentina Scatizzi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rachael Ostovich finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Scatizzi 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.