Radosław Paczuski vs Ryan Gracie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-0Record5-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'9"
78"ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
Uniq Fight Club· 1591 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
If they win+24→ 1615
If they lose-24→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Radosław PaczuskiRyan Gracie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Radosław Paczuski63%
Ryan Gracie 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Radosław Paczuski a 63% favorite over Ryan Gracie in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1591), separated by just 0 points.
Radosław Paczuski enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gracie enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Radosław Paczuski finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gracie 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.