Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael Dias vs Sevak Khachatryan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-9-1Record3-1-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'5"
TBDReach-
125 lbsWeight129 lbs
SD Training SystemTeamLionheart Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Rafael DiasNow 1545
If they win+12→ 1557
If they lose-12→ 1533
Sevak KhachatryanNow 1548
If they win+24→ 1572
If they lose-24→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Rafael DiasSevak Khachatryan
155020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (100%)
4 (20%)
Submission
0 (0%)
12 (60%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Sevak Khachatryan71%
Rafael Dias 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sevak Khachatryan a 71% favorite over Rafael Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.

Rafael Dias finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Sevak Khachatryan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.