Rafael dos Anjos vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-18-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1703
If they lose-19→ 1679
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-7→ 1469
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos86%
Rob Emerson 14%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 86% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1476, a 222-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.