Rafael dos Anjos vs Rob Emerson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-17-0Record21-15-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Rob Emerson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1718
If they lose-19→ 1694
If they win+25→ 1501
If they lose-7→ 1469
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosRob Emerson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos78%
Rob Emerson 22%Elo baseline: 80%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 78% favorite over Rob Emerson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (80%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1476, a 237-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rob Emerson 62%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.