Rafael dos Anjos vs Tarec Saffiedine
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-18-0Record16-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'9"
70"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
RDA AcademyTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tarec Saffiedine carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1709
If they lose-13→ 1685
If they win+18→ 1677
If they lose-14→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Rafael dos AnjosTarec Saffiedine
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael dos Anjos66%
Tarec Saffiedine 34%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 66% favorite over Tarec Saffiedine in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1659, a 39-point edge.
Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Tarec Saffiedine enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tarec Saffiedine 38%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.