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Combat Edge Intelligence

Rafael dos Anjos vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-18-0Record16-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Rafael dos Anjos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Terry Etim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Rafael dos AnjosNow 1698
If they win+8→ 1706
If they lose-16→ 1682
Terry EtimNow 1591
If they win+21→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1580

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1735 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
47%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
60%
Strike defense
67%
1.95
Takedown avg.
0.43
24%
Takedown accuracy
30%
55%
Takedown defense
39%
0.57
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Rafael dos AnjosTerry Etim
160016501700201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (16%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
11 (34%)
Submission
12 (75%)
16 (50%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafael dos Anjos84%
Terry Etim 16%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafael dos Anjos a 84% favorite over Terry Etim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Rafael dos Anjos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1591, a 107-point edge.

Rafael dos Anjos enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Rafael dos Anjos finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.